HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
37.9%
栃大海 (R=1301)
vs
62.1%
寿之富士 (R=1387)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (栃大海) | 42.7% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -42.7pt |
Positive = 栃大海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 栃大海 | 寿之富士 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1338 (2018-03) | 1444 (2024-07) |
| Career bouts | 458 | 122 |
| Wins | 241 | 84 |
| Losses | 211 | 38 |
| Win rate | 53.2% | 68.9% |
| Current rank | Juryo #14 | Juryo #4 |
| Active period | 2017-11 〜 2026-07 | 2024-05 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 栃大海 | vs | 寿之富士 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 12 | 44% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 14 | 42% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.



