HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
56.4%
栃大海 (R=1299)
vs
43.6%
大皇翔 (R=1254)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (栃大海) | 56.8% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -56.8pt |
Positive = 栃大海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 栃大海 | 大皇翔 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1338 (2018-03) | 1362 (2024-07) |
| Career bouts | 455 | 91 |
| Wins | 238 | 60 |
| Losses | 210 | 30 |
| Win rate | 53.0% | 67.0% |
| Current rank | Juryo #14 | Makushita #1 |
| Active period | 2017-11 〜 2026-07 | 2024-05 〜 2026-05 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 栃大海 | vs | 大皇翔 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 7 | 57% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.