HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
48.7%
栃大海 (R=1455)
vs
51.3%
大花竜 (R=1465)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (栃大海) | 46.5% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 53.5pt |
Positive = 栃大海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 栃大海 | 大花竜 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1564 (2025-03) | 1560 (2026-03) |
| Career bouts | 473 | 99 |
| Wins | 246 | 59 |
| Losses | 221 | 39 |
| Win rate | 52.6% | 60.6% |
| Current rank | Juryo #14 | Makushita #5 |
| Active period | 2017-11 〜 2026-09 | 2024-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 栃大海 | vs | 大花竜 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 2 | 41% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 9 | 52% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.