HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
19.8%
栃大海 (R=1455)
vs
80.2%
旭富士 (R=1706)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (栃大海) | 25.9% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 74.1pt |
Positive = 栃大海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 栃大海 | 旭富士 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1564 (2025-03) | 1706 (2026-09) |
| Career bouts | 473 | 21 |
| Wins | 246 | 21 |
| Losses | 221 | 0 |
| Win rate | 52.6% | 100.0% |
| Current rank | Juryo #14 | Makushita #1 |
| Active period | 2017-11 〜 2026-09 | 2026-01 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 栃大海 | vs | 旭富士 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09 | 2 | 26% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.