HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
53.1%
栃大海 (R=1455)
vs
46.9%
錦木 (R=1434)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (6 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (栃大海) | 53.7% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | -3.7pt |
Positive = 栃大海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 栃大海 | 錦木 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1564 (2025-03) | 1763 (2023-07) |
| Career bouts | 473 | 1,396 |
| Wins | 246 | 671 |
| Losses | 221 | 716 |
| Win rate | 52.6% | 48.6% |
| Current rank | Juryo #14 | Juryo #14 |
| Active period | 2017-11 〜 2026-09 | 2006-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (6)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 栃大海 | vs | 錦木 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05 | 5 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-07 | 6 | 47% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-11 | 4 | 57% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 6 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 1 | 58% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 5 | 56% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.