HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
45.9%
琴勝峰 (R=1762)
vs
54.1%
美ノ海 (R=1791)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (17 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (琴勝峰) | 53.5% |
| Actual win rate | 64.7% |
| Delta | 11.2pt |
Positive = 琴勝峰 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 琴勝峰 | 美ノ海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1781 (2026-05) | 1791 (2026-09) |
| Career bouts | 687 | 764 |
| Wins | 356 | 391 |
| Losses | 308 | 368 |
| Win rate | 53.4% | 51.6% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #1 | Maegashira #3 |
| Active period | 2017-11 〜 2026-09 | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (17)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 琴勝峰 | vs | 美ノ海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-01 | 14 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2020-03 | 4 | 52% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2021-09 | 8 | 56% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2021-11 | 6 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-01 | 5 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-03 | 14 | 58% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-05 | 13 | 59% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-09 | 9 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-11 | 7 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-01 | 10 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-03 | 7 | 50% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-07 | 10 | 53% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 8 | 52% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-01 | 11 | 48% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 15 | 62% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 1 | 60% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 11 | 55% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.