HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
68.8%
豊昇龍 (R=1887)
vs
31.2%
大栄翔 (R=1747)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (21 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (豊昇龍) | 57.2% |
| Actual win rate | 71.4% |
| Delta | 14.3pt |
Positive = 豊昇龍 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 豊昇龍 | 大栄翔 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1978 (2025-11) | 1866 (2025-05) |
| Career bouts | 674 | 1,196 |
| Wins | 400 | 637 |
| Losses | 227 | 529 |
| Win rate | 63.1% | 55.0% |
| Current rank | Yokozuna | Maegashira #4 |
| Active period | 2018-01 〜 2026-07 | 2012-01 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (21)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 豊昇龍 | vs | 大栄翔 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-09 | 12 | 45% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2021-11 | 12 | 39% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2022-03 | 11 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2022-05 | 6 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2022-09 | 5 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2022-11 | 6 | 53% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-01 | 5 | 61% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-03 | 10 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-05 | 6 | 48% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-11 | 15 | 52% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-01 | 10 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-03 | 11 | 57% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-05 | 3 | 66% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-07 | 8 | 58% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-09 | 2 | 61% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-11 | 11 | 58% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-01 | 10 | 66% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-05 | 13 | 58% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-01 | 8 | 75% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 8 | 75% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 8 | 74% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.