HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
72.4%
豊昇龍 (R=1887)
vs
27.6%
平戸海 (R=1716)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (13 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (豊昇龍) | 73.3% |
| Actual win rate | 92.3% |
| Delta | 19.0pt |
Positive = 豊昇龍 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 豊昇龍 | 平戸海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1978 (2025-11) | 1808 (2024-07) |
| Career bouts | 674 | 677 |
| Wins | 400 | 356 |
| Losses | 227 | 312 |
| Win rate | 63.1% | 53.2% |
| Current rank | Yokozuna | Maegashira #5 |
| Active period | 2018-01 〜 2026-07 | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (13)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 豊昇龍 | vs | 平戸海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-07 | 15 | 89% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-05 | 13 | 78% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-07 | 9 | 77% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-05 | 4 | 76% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-07 | 2 | 69% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-09 | 9 | 63% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-11 | 3 | 61% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-01 | 9 | 75% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-05 | 7 | 72% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-09 | 7 | 69% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 5 | 73% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 6 | 78% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 7 | 74% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.



