HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
63.0%
豊昇龍 (R=1597)
vs
37.0%
熱海富士 (R=1505)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (12 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (豊昇龍) | 67.1% |
| Actual win rate | 41.7% |
| Delta | -25.4pt |
Positive = 豊昇龍 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 豊昇龍 | 熱海富士 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1620 (2026-03) | 1505 (2026-07) |
| Career bouts | 673 | 454 |
| Wins | 400 | 261 |
| Losses | 227 | 187 |
| Win rate | 63.1% | 58.2% |
| Current rank | Yokozuna | Sekiwake |
| Active period | 2018-01 〜 2026-07 | 2021-01 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (12)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 豊昇龍 | vs | 熱海富士 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11 | 12 | 66% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-01 | 1 | 64% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-03 | 3 | 65% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-05 | 1 | 66% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-07 | 1 | 66% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-09 | 3 | 66% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-11 | 6 | 65% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-01 | 5 | 67% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-09 | 5 | 69% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-01 | 9 | 73% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 1 | 70% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 13 | 68% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.