HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
66.4%
王鵬 (R=1671)
vs
33.6%
千代翔馬 (R=1551)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (5 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (王鵬) | 60.8% |
| Actual win rate | 80.0% |
| Delta | 19.2pt |
Positive = 王鵬 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 王鵬 | 千代翔馬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1830 (2025-01) | 1714 (2025-01) |
| Career bouts | 632 | 1,222 |
| Wins | 333 | 601 |
| Losses | 294 | 599 |
| Win rate | 53.3% | 50.1% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #10 | Maegashira #14 |
| Active period | 2018-01 〜 2026-09 | 2009-07 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (5)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 王鵬 | vs | 千代翔馬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-07 | 4 | 56% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2022-09 | 1 | 56% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-03 | 1 | 66% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-05 | 15 | 60% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 14 | 66% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.