HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
67.9%
王鵬 (R=1671)
vs
32.1%
湘南乃海 (R=1538)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (5 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (王鵬) | 49.8% |
| Actual win rate | 20.0% |
| Delta | -29.8pt |
Positive = 王鵬 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 王鵬 | 湘南乃海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1830 (2025-01) | 1692 (2023-07) |
| Career bouts | 632 | 705 |
| Wins | 333 | 369 |
| Losses | 294 | 336 |
| Win rate | 53.3% | 52.3% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #10 | Maegashira #17 |
| Active period | 2018-01 〜 2026-09 | 2014-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (5)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 王鵬 | vs | 湘南乃海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-11 | 7 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-05 | 3 | 42% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-09 | 6 | 41% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-07 | 2 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 12 | 63% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.