HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
54.3%
阿蘇ノ山 (R=1170)
vs
45.7%
魁清城 (R=1139)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (阿蘇ノ山) | 59.4% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | -9.4pt |
Positive = 阿蘇ノ山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 阿蘇ノ山 | 魁清城 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1348 (2018-03) | 1139 (2026-05) |
| Career bouts | 346 | 508 |
| Wins | 184 | 256 |
| Losses | 143 | 248 |
| Win rate | 56.1% | 51.1% |
| Current rank | Makushita #15 | Makushita #10 |
| Active period | 2018-01 〜 2026-05 | 2014-03 〜 2026-05 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 阿蘇ノ山 | vs | 魁清城 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11 | 15 | 60% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-07 | 9 | 59% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.