HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
49.5%
阿蘇ノ山 (R=1170)
vs
50.5%
北大地 (R=1173)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (阿蘇ノ山) | 46.8% |
| Actual win rate | 25.0% |
| Delta | -21.8pt |
Positive = 阿蘇ノ山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 阿蘇ノ山 | 北大地 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1348 (2018-03) | 1347 (2014-03) |
| Career bouts | 346 | 506 |
| Wins | 184 | 262 |
| Losses | 143 | 242 |
| Win rate | 56.1% | 52.2% |
| Current rank | Makushita #15 | Makushita #19 |
| Active period | 2018-01 〜 2026-05 | 2014-03 〜 2026-05 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 阿蘇ノ山 | vs | 北大地 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-07 | 10 | 48% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-01 | 5 | 48% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-01 | 10 | 43% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 3 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.