HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
61.7%
阿蘇ノ山 (R=1334)
vs
38.3%
大畑 (R=1249)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (阿蘇ノ山) | 49.1% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -49.1pt |
Positive = 阿蘇ノ山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 阿蘇ノ山 | 大畑 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1396 (2026-01) | 1381 (2014-11) |
| Career bouts | 364 | 497 |
| Wins | 190 | 251 |
| Losses | 155 | 241 |
| Win rate | 54.9% | 51.5% |
| Current rank | Makushita #50 | Makushita #51 |
| Active period | 2018-01 〜 2026-09 | 2014-11 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 阿蘇ノ山 | vs | 大畑 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-11 | 1 | 44% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2021-05 | 10 | 44% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2022-01 | 1 | 47% | ■ | vs | □ |
| 2026-11 | 1 | 62% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.