HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
52.5%
阿蘇ノ山 (R=1334)
vs
47.5%
天道山 (R=1316)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (7 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (阿蘇ノ山) | 49.6% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -49.6pt |
Positive = 阿蘇ノ山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 阿蘇ノ山 | 天道山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1396 (2026-01) | 1468 (2020-03) |
| Career bouts | 346 | 259 |
| Wins | 184 | 138 |
| Losses | 143 | 105 |
| Win rate | 56.1% | 57.1% |
| Current rank | Makushita #43 | Makushita #44 |
| Active period | 2018-01 〜 2026-09 | 2020-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (7)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 阿蘇ノ山 | vs | 天道山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-01 | 15 | 40% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-05 | 9 | 52% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-07 | 9 | 52% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-01 | 2 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-07 | 11 | 48% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 12 | 54% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 10 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.