HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
46.5%
阿蘇ノ山 (R=1334)
vs
53.5%
朝ノ龍 (R=1359)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (阿蘇ノ山) | 50.2% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 49.8pt |
Positive = 阿蘇ノ山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 阿蘇ノ山 | 朝ノ龍 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1396 (2026-01) | 1452 (2022-05) |
| Career bouts | 346 | 259 |
| Wins | 184 | 136 |
| Losses | 143 | 111 |
| Win rate | 56.1% | 54.2% |
| Current rank | Makushita #43 | Makushita #41 |
| Active period | 2018-01 〜 2026-09 | 2020-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 阿蘇ノ山 | vs | 朝ノ龍 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03 | 3 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-05 | 6 | 49% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 15 | 53% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.