HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
43.9%
大雄翔 (R=1400)
vs
56.1%
栃幸大 (R=1443)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (大雄翔) | 45.9% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -45.9pt |
Positive = 大雄翔 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 大雄翔 | 栃幸大 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1425 (2026-07) | 1448 (2026-07) |
| Career bouts | 338 | 381 |
| Wins | 172 | 201 |
| Losses | 114 | 176 |
| Win rate | 59.9% | 53.3% |
| Current rank | Makushita #8 | Makushita #3 |
| Active period | 2018-03 〜 2026-09 | 2017-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 大雄翔 | vs | 栃幸大 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07 | 6 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.



