HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
65.6%
大雄翔 (R=1159)
vs
34.4%
旭水野 (R=1046)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (大雄翔) | 67.0% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 33.0pt |
Positive = 大雄翔 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 大雄翔 | 旭水野 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1274 (2018-05) | 1046 (2026-05) |
| Career bouts | 338 | 175 |
| Wins | 172 | 96 |
| Losses | 114 | 76 |
| Win rate | 59.9% | 55.5% |
| Current rank | Makushita #15 | Makushita #14 |
| Active period | 2018-03 〜 2026-05 | 2022-05 〜 2026-05 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 大雄翔 | vs | 旭水野 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 8 | 67% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.