HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
60.1%
小滝山 (R=1056)
vs
39.9%
栃満 (R=984)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (小滝山) | 66.6% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 33.4pt |
Positive = 小滝山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 小滝山 | 栃満 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1347 (2018-03) | 1490 (2014-05) |
| Career bouts | 338 | 506 |
| Wins | 167 | 252 |
| Losses | 161 | 250 |
| Win rate | 51.4% | 50.1% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #66 | Sandanme #75 |
| Active period | 2018-03 〜 2026-09 | 2014-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 小滝山 | vs | 栃満 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03 | 3 | 69% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-07 | 12 | 65% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.