HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
23.9%
若花新 (R=417)
vs
76.1%
蒼乃駿 (R=623)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (若花新) | 30.7% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | 19.3pt |
Positive = 若花新 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 若花新 | 蒼乃駿 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 932 (2018-03) | 1144 (2021-05) |
| Career bouts | 336 | 235 |
| Wins | 111 | 90 |
| Losses | 210 | 123 |
| Win rate | 34.8% | 42.6% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #94 | Jonidan #96 |
| Active period | 2018-03 〜 2026-09 | 2021-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 若花新 | vs | 蒼乃駿 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-03 | 15 | 37% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-11 | 5 | 24% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.