HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
46.9%
若花新 (R=417)
vs
53.1%
荒飛 (R=439)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (若花新) | 56.6% |
| Actual win rate | 75.0% |
| Delta | 18.4pt |
Positive = 若花新 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 若花新 | 荒飛 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 932 (2018-03) | 819 (2022-05) |
| Career bouts | 319 | 177 |
| Wins | 106 | 53 |
| Losses | 198 | 121 |
| Win rate | 35.1% | 29.9% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #67 | Jonidan #66 |
| Active period | 2018-03 〜 2026-09 | 2022-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 若花新 | vs | 荒飛 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03 | 11 | 61% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-01 | 2 | 60% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-07 | 4 | 53% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 12 | 52% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.