HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
15.9%
若花新 (R=417)
vs
84.1%
菊池 (R=713)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (若花新) | 41.3% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -41.3pt |
Positive = 若花新 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 若花新 | 菊池 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 932 (2018-03) | 713 (2026-09) |
| Career bouts | 319 | 84 |
| Wins | 106 | 34 |
| Losses | 198 | 32 |
| Win rate | 35.1% | 51.5% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #94 | Jonidan #38 |
| Active period | 2018-03 〜 2026-09 | 2024-07 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 若花新 | vs | 菊池 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11 | 11 | 41% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-01 | 12 | 41% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.