HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
80.5%
若花新 (R=417)
vs
19.5%
輝の里 (R=165)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (若花新) | 54.5% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | -4.5pt |
Positive = 若花新 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 若花新 | 輝の里 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 932 (2018-03) | 1145 (2004-01) |
| Career bouts | 319 | 1,347 |
| Wins | 106 | 609 |
| Losses | 198 | 714 |
| Win rate | 35.1% | 46.1% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #94 | Jonokuchi #11 |
| Active period | 2018-03 〜 2026-09 | 1993-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 若花新 | vs | 輝の里 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03 | 7 | 43% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-05 | 14 | 66% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.