HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
62.3%
若花新 (R=417)
vs
37.7%
大國山 (R=328)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (6 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (若花新) | 38.6% |
| Actual win rate | 33.3% |
| Delta | -5.3pt |
Positive = 若花新 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 若花新 | 大國山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 932 (2018-03) | 922 (2008-03) |
| Career bouts | 319 | 721 |
| Wins | 106 | 300 |
| Losses | 198 | 398 |
| Win rate | 35.1% | 43.0% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #94 | Jonokuchi #8 |
| Active period | 2018-03 〜 2026-09 | 2008-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (6)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 若花新 | vs | 大國山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-07 | 11 | 26% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2021-07 | 2 | 38% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2021-11 | 4 | 35% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2022-03 | 4 | 39% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2022-05 | 5 | 41% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-05 | 2 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.