HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
87.2%
千代大牙 (R=1266)
vs
12.8%
島袋 (R=927)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (千代大牙) | 87.2% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -87.2pt |
Positive = 千代大牙 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 千代大牙 | 島袋 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1325 (2025-05) | 1168 (2023-07) |
| Career bouts | 355 | 150 |
| Wins | 163 | 71 |
| Losses | 130 | 65 |
| Win rate | 55.6% | 51.8% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #77 | Jonidan #76 |
| Active period | 2018-03 〜 2026-05 | 2023-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 千代大牙 | vs | 島袋 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 4 | 87% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.

