HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
56.5%
獅子丸 (R=480)
vs
43.5%
大國 (R=434)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (5 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (獅子丸) | 47.4% |
| Actual win rate | 60.0% |
| Delta | 12.6pt |
Positive = 獅子丸 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 獅子丸 | 大國 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 765 (2018-03) | 1268 (2010-11) |
| Career bouts | 359 | 659 |
| Wins | 118 | 296 |
| Losses | 225 | 356 |
| Win rate | 34.8% | 45.3% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #69 | Jonidan #68 |
| Active period | 2018-03 〜 2026-09 | 2010-11 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (5)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 獅子丸 | vs | 大國 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03 | 8 | 22% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-09 | 14 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 6 | 52% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 3 | 57% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-11 | 7 | 56% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.