HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
50.8%
獅子丸 (R=478)
vs
49.2%
大國山 (R=473)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (6 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (獅子丸) | 38.3% |
| Actual win rate | 66.7% |
| Delta | 28.3pt |
Positive = 獅子丸 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 獅子丸 | 大國山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 765 (2018-03) | 922 (2008-03) |
| Career bouts | 341 | 721 |
| Wins | 109 | 300 |
| Losses | 216 | 398 |
| Win rate | 33.9% | 43.0% |
| Current rank | Jonokuchi #1 | Jonokuchi #6 |
| Active period | 2018-03 〜 2026-05 | 2008-03 〜 2026-05 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (6)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 獅子丸 | vs | 大國山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-07 | 13 | 25% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2021-11 | 6 | 26% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-09 | 2 | 42% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-11 | 1 | 42% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-03 | 10 | 45% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 12 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.