HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
38.1%
松ヶ島 (R=799)
vs
61.9%
朝阪神 (R=885)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (松ヶ島) | 38.0% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 62.0pt |
Positive = 松ヶ島 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 松ヶ島 | 朝阪神 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 949 (2018-03) | 1100 (2016-03) |
| Career bouts | 340 | 436 |
| Wins | 147 | 211 |
| Losses | 187 | 224 |
| Win rate | 44.0% | 48.4% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #31 | Retired |
| Active period | 2018-03 〜 2026-09 | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 松ヶ島 | vs | 朝阪神 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 1 | 38% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.