HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
49.2%
松ヶ島 (R=799)
vs
50.8%
大典翔 (R=804)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (松ヶ島) | 49.2% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 50.8pt |
Positive = 松ヶ島 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 松ヶ島 | 大典翔 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 949 (2018-03) | 805 (2026-05) |
| Career bouts | 357 | 228 |
| Wins | 155 | 95 |
| Losses | 196 | 125 |
| Win rate | 44.2% | 43.2% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #31 | Jonidan #34 |
| Active period | 2018-03 〜 2026-09 | 2021-07 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 松ヶ島 | vs | 大典翔 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 6 | 49% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.