HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
42.7%
松ヶ島 (R=799)
vs
57.3%
旭轟星 (R=852)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (松ヶ島) | 24.3% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -24.3pt |
Positive = 松ヶ島 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 松ヶ島 | 旭轟星 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 949 (2018-03) | 987 (2026-03) |
| Career bouts | 340 | 14 |
| Wins | 147 | 10 |
| Losses | 187 | 4 |
| Win rate | 44.0% | 71.4% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #74 | Jonidan #70 |
| Active period | 2018-03 〜 2026-09 | 2026-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 松ヶ島 | vs | 旭轟星 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 2 | 24% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.