HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
55.8%
淡の海 (R=1121)
vs
44.2%
東照山 (R=1080)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (淡の海) | 47.5% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | 2.5pt |
Positive = 淡の海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 淡の海 | 東照山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1193 (2018-07) | 1186 (2021-01) |
| Career bouts | 352 | 566 |
| Wins | 177 | 267 |
| Losses | 167 | 285 |
| Win rate | 51.5% | 48.7% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #50 | Sandanme #51 |
| Active period | 2018-05 〜 2026-09 | 2013-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 淡の海 | vs | 東照山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-07 | 4 | 39% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-11 | 5 | 56% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.