HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
55.2%
淡の海 (R=1121)
vs
44.8%
庄司 (R=1085)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (淡の海) | 51.0% |
| Actual win rate | 66.7% |
| Delta | 15.7pt |
Positive = 淡の海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 淡の海 | 庄司 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1193 (2018-07) | 1568 (2017-11) |
| Career bouts | 352 | 384 |
| Wins | 177 | 194 |
| Losses | 167 | 188 |
| Win rate | 51.5% | 50.8% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #50 | Sandanme #50 |
| Active period | 2018-05 〜 2026-09 | 2017-07 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 淡の海 | vs | 庄司 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07 | 12 | 44% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-11 | 11 | 53% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-11 | 2 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.