HEAD-TO-HEAD

Head-to-Head Comparison

Left

淡の海

Sandanme #20Naruto Stable

Change

Right

大新海

Sandanme #16Otake Stable

Change
淡の海
Sandanme #20
44%
win prob (latest)
VS
大新海
Sandanme #16
56%
win prob (latest)

Career Head-to-Head

All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).

1
1 bouts
0

Rating-based Forecast

Expected win rate (latest)

44.4%
淡の海 (R=972)
vs
55.6%
大新海 (R=1011)

Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)

Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)

Predicted win rate (淡の海)27.7%
Actual win rate100.0%
Delta72.3pt

Positive = 淡の海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.

Career Comparison

Item淡の海大新海
Peak rating1191 (2018-07)1293 (2019-07)
Career bouts334294
Wins169148
Losses157139
Win rate51.8%51.4%
Current rankSandanme #20Sandanme #16
Active period2018-05 〜 2026-052019-05 〜 2026-05

Rating history (overlay)

Bout details (1)

BashoDayPredicted淡の海vs大新海
2020-01228%vs

Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.