HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
45.0%
黒姫山 (R=1418)
vs
55.0%
大皇翔 (R=1454)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (黒姫山) | 52.2% |
| Actual win rate | 25.0% |
| Delta | -27.2pt |
Positive = 黒姫山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 黒姫山 | 大皇翔 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1447 (2025-11) | 1472 (2026-05) |
| Career bouts | 350 | 109 |
| Wins | 191 | 68 |
| Losses | 152 | 38 |
| Win rate | 55.5% | 64.5% |
| Current rank | Makushita #17 | Makushita #16 |
| Active period | 2018-05 〜 2026-09 | 2024-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 黒姫山 | vs | 大皇翔 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03 | 7 | 59% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-11 | 7 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 11 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-11 | 7 | 45% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.