HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
38.0%
狼雅 (R=1667)
vs
62.0%
朝乃山 (R=1753)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (5 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (狼雅) | 29.2% |
| Actual win rate | 40.0% |
| Delta | 10.8pt |
Positive = 狼雅 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 狼雅 | 朝乃山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1672 (2026-07) | 1903 (2020-07) |
| Career bouts | 514 | 817 |
| Wins | 278 | 435 |
| Losses | 223 | 213 |
| Win rate | 55.4% | 66.7% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #5 | Maegashira #6 |
| Active period | 2019-01 〜 2026-09 | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (5)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 狼雅 | vs | 朝乃山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-01 | 6 | 16% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-03 | 9 | 16% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 7 | 33% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 4 | 38% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 3 | 43% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.