HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
53.7%
大喜翔 (R=1469)
vs
46.3%
栃幸大 (R=1443)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (大喜翔) | 56.3% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | -6.3pt |
Positive = 大喜翔 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 大喜翔 | 栃幸大 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1475 (2026-07) | 1448 (2026-07) |
| Career bouts | 301 | 381 |
| Wins | 158 | 201 |
| Losses | 111 | 176 |
| Win rate | 58.7% | 53.3% |
| Current rank | Makushita #6 | Makushita #7 |
| Active period | 2019-03 〜 2026-09 | 2017-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 大喜翔 | vs | 栃幸大 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-03 | 7 | 56% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 15 | 57% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.