HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
61.9%
出沼 (R=1207)
vs
38.1%
鷹翔 (R=1121)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (出沼) | 64.6% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 35.4pt |
Positive = 出沼 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 出沼 | 鷹翔 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1271 (2024-11) | 1211 (2025-11) |
| Career bouts | 311 | 644 |
| Wins | 162 | 316 |
| Losses | 144 | 328 |
| Win rate | 53.1% | 49.1% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #14 | Sandanme #12 |
| Active period | 2019-05 〜 2026-09 | 2011-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 出沼 | vs | 鷹翔 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05 | 11 | 66% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-01 | 13 | 66% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-11 | 6 | 62% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.