HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
58.9%
出沼 (R=1207)
vs
41.1%
鳰の湖 (R=1144)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (出沼) | 46.3% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -46.3pt |
Positive = 出沼 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 出沼 | 鳰の湖 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1271 (2024-11) | 1484 (2011-11) |
| Career bouts | 294 | 1,098 |
| Wins | 153 | 554 |
| Losses | 136 | 534 |
| Win rate | 53.1% | 51.1% |
| Current rank | Makushita #59 | Makushita #58 |
| Active period | 2019-05 〜 2026-09 | 2002-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 出沼 | vs | 鳰の湖 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-05 | 15 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-01 | 11 | 47% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.