HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
57.1%
北の若 (R=1351)
vs
42.9%
栃大海 (R=1301)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (北の若) | 56.5% |
| Actual win rate | 66.7% |
| Delta | 10.2pt |
Positive = 北の若 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 北の若 | 栃大海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1449 (2019-05) | 1338 (2018-03) |
| Career bouts | 501 | 458 |
| Wins | 257 | 241 |
| Losses | 211 | 211 |
| Win rate | 54.8% | 53.2% |
| Current rank | Juryo #5 | Juryo #14 |
| Active period | 2019-05 〜 2026-07 | 2017-11 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 北の若 | vs | 栃大海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01 | 2 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 15 | 57% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 15 | 57% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.