HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
70.1%
北の若 (R=1607)
vs
29.9%
栃大海 (R=1455)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (北の若) | 59.3% |
| Actual win rate | 66.7% |
| Delta | 7.4pt |
Positive = 北の若 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 北の若 | 栃大海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1607 (2026-09) | 1564 (2025-03) |
| Career bouts | 516 | 473 |
| Wins | 268 | 246 |
| Losses | 215 | 221 |
| Win rate | 55.3% | 52.6% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #15 | Makushita #3 |
| Active period | 2019-05 〜 2026-09 | 2017-11 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 北の若 | vs | 栃大海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01 | 2 | 57% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 15 | 60% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 15 | 61% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.