HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
51.2%
北の若 (R=1351)
vs
48.8%
佐田の海 (R=1343)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (6 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (北の若) | 47.2% |
| Actual win rate | 33.3% |
| Delta | -13.9pt |
Positive = 北の若 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 北の若 | 佐田の海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1449 (2019-05) | 1393 (2022-11) |
| Career bouts | 498 | 1,610 |
| Wins | 256 | 787 |
| Losses | 208 | 814 |
| Win rate | 55.0% | 49.3% |
| Current rank | Juryo #5 | Juryo #2 |
| Active period | 2019-05 〜 2026-07 | 2003-05 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (6)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 北の若 | vs | 佐田の海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11 | 11 | 44% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-03 | 6 | 45% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-09 | 10 | 44% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-01 | 9 | 50% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 12 | 50% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 7 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.