HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
29.7%
陽孔丸 (R=1113)
vs
70.3%
千代大牙 (R=1266)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (陽孔丸) | 47.2% |
| Actual win rate | 25.0% |
| Delta | -22.2pt |
Positive = 陽孔丸 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 陽孔丸 | 千代大牙 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1224 (2025-11) | 1325 (2025-05) |
| Career bouts | 311 | 355 |
| Wins | 151 | 163 |
| Losses | 146 | 130 |
| Win rate | 50.5% | 55.6% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #77 | Jonidan #77 |
| Active period | 2019-05 〜 2026-07 | 2018-03 〜 2026-05 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 陽孔丸 | vs | 千代大牙 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-03 | 15 | 70% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2020-07 | 8 | 61% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-09 | 7 | 28% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-11 | 1 | 30% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.