HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
56.2%
大辻 (R=1487)
vs
43.8%
栃幸大 (R=1443)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (大辻) | 51.0% |
| Actual win rate | 66.7% |
| Delta | 15.6pt |
Positive = 大辻 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 大辻 | 栃幸大 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1549 (2025-05) | 1448 (2026-07) |
| Career bouts | 327 | 398 |
| Wins | 173 | 209 |
| Losses | 137 | 185 |
| Win rate | 55.8% | 53.0% |
| Current rank | Makushita #9 | Makushita #7 |
| Active period | 2019-05 〜 2026-09 | 2017-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 大辻 | vs | 栃幸大 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03 | 5 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-01 | 6 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-03 | 10 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.



