HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
61.6%
鶴ノ海 (R=799)
vs
38.4%
千代剣 (R=715)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (鶴ノ海) | 53.9% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | -3.9pt |
Positive = 鶴ノ海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 鶴ノ海 | 千代剣 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1201 (2019-05) | 771 (2025-09) |
| Career bouts | 294 | 252 |
| Wins | 122 | 102 |
| Losses | 157 | 115 |
| Win rate | 44.1% | 47.0% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #17 | Jonidan #68 |
| Active period | 2019-05 〜 2026-09 | 2019-09 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 鶴ノ海 | vs | 千代剣 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-01 | 12 | 69% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2022-11 | 14 | 47% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-03 | 9 | 48% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-01 | 7 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.