HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
50.1%
鶴ノ海 (R=670)
vs
49.9%
千代剣 (R=669)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (鶴ノ海) | 48.3% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | 1.7pt |
Positive = 鶴ノ海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 鶴ノ海 | 千代剣 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1201 (2019-05) | 688 (2025-11) |
| Career bouts | 294 | 252 |
| Wins | 122 | 102 |
| Losses | 157 | 115 |
| Win rate | 44.1% | 47.0% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #69 | Jonidan #74 |
| Active period | 2019-05 〜 2026-05 | 2019-09 〜 2026-05 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 鶴ノ海 | vs | 千代剣 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-01 | 12 | 62% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2022-11 | 14 | 43% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-03 | 9 | 42% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-01 | 7 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.