HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
63.9%
鶴ノ海 (R=799)
vs
36.1%
栃春日 (R=697)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (鶴ノ海) | 45.0% |
| Actual win rate | 33.3% |
| Delta | -11.6pt |
Positive = 鶴ノ海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 鶴ノ海 | 栃春日 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1201 (2019-05) | 1145 (1999-07) |
| Career bouts | 294 | 1,125 |
| Wins | 122 | 542 |
| Losses | 157 | 580 |
| Win rate | 44.1% | 48.3% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #17 | Jonidan #71 |
| Active period | 2019-05 〜 2026-09 | 1999-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 鶴ノ海 | vs | 栃春日 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-01 | 3 | 33% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-01 | 9 | 50% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 12 | 52% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.