HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
52.8%
木瀬の海 (R=1107)
vs
47.2%
北勝栄 (R=1087)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (木瀬の海) | 51.6% |
| Actual win rate | 66.7% |
| Delta | 15.1pt |
Positive = 木瀬の海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 木瀬の海 | 北勝栄 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1369 (2019-05) | 1093 (2023-11) |
| Career bouts | 294 | 340 |
| Wins | 147 | 167 |
| Losses | 142 | 164 |
| Win rate | 50.9% | 50.6% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #78 | Sandanme #28 |
| Active period | 2019-05 〜 2026-07 | 2018-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 木瀬の海 | vs | 北勝栄 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-07 | 13 | 53% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-05 | 7 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-09 | 11 | 53% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.