HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
68.1%
木瀬の海 (R=1107)
vs
31.9%
菊ノ城 (R=972)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (木瀬の海) | 69.4% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 30.6pt |
Positive = 木瀬の海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 木瀬の海 | 菊ノ城 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1369 (2019-05) | 972 (2026-09) |
| Career bouts | 294 | 126 |
| Wins | 147 | 61 |
| Losses | 142 | 55 |
| Win rate | 50.9% | 51.7% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #78 | Sandanme #57 |
| Active period | 2019-05 〜 2026-07 | 2023-07 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 木瀬の海 | vs | 菊ノ城 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 7 | 69% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.