HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
57.2%
東白龍 (R=1507)
vs
42.8%
栃大海 (R=1455)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (9 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (東白龍) | 49.1% |
| Actual win rate | 66.7% |
| Delta | 17.6pt |
Positive = 東白龍 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 東白龍 | 栃大海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1548 (2022-05) | 1564 (2025-03) |
| Career bouts | 588 | 473 |
| Wins | 279 | 246 |
| Losses | 290 | 221 |
| Win rate | 49.2% | 52.6% |
| Current rank | Juryo #8 | Makushita #3 |
| Active period | 2019-05 〜 2026-09 | 2017-11 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (9)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 東白龍 | vs | 栃大海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-07 | 1 | 60% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-05 | 13 | 48% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-07 | 12 | 45% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-03 | 9 | 41% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-07 | 3 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-09 | 5 | 50% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 8 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 5 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 8 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.