HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
35.8%
千代煌山 (R=734)
vs
64.2%
朝東 (R=838)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (千代煌山) | 46.8% |
| Actual win rate | 33.3% |
| Delta | -13.4pt |
Positive = 千代煌山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 千代煌山 | 朝東 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 992 (2019-07) | 976 (2018-01) |
| Career bouts | 304 | 366 |
| Wins | 135 | 171 |
| Losses | 138 | 195 |
| Win rate | 49.1% | 46.7% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #48 | Jonidan #47 |
| Active period | 2019-07 〜 2026-09 | 2018-01 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 千代煌山 | vs | 朝東 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11 | 5 | 53% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-01 | 8 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-11 | 4 | 36% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.