HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
60.1%
千代煌山 (R=734)
vs
39.9%
藤乃波 (R=661)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (千代煌山) | 67.8% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | -17.8pt |
Positive = 千代煌山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 千代煌山 | 藤乃波 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 992 (2019-07) | 1220 (2018-05) |
| Career bouts | 304 | 336 |
| Wins | 135 | 137 |
| Losses | 138 | 169 |
| Win rate | 49.1% | 44.5% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #48 | Jonidan #50 |
| Active period | 2019-07 〜 2026-09 | 2018-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 千代煌山 | vs | 藤乃波 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03 | 13 | 75% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-11 | 5 | 60% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.