HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
45.6%
丸勝 (R=1231)
vs
54.4%
聖冴 (R=1262)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (5 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (丸勝) | 54.7% |
| Actual win rate | 20.0% |
| Delta | -34.7pt |
Positive = 丸勝 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 丸勝 | 聖冴 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1399 (2019-07) | 1355 (2017-05) |
| Career bouts | 287 | 380 |
| Wins | 150 | 195 |
| Losses | 121 | 146 |
| Win rate | 55.1% | 57.0% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #2 | Sandanme #1 |
| Active period | 2019-07 〜 2026-09 | 2017-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (5)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 丸勝 | vs | 聖冴 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-03 | 6 | 71% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2021-01 | 15 | 60% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-01 | 9 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-11 | 12 | 47% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 11 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.